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Mike Dempsey / Vegasinsider

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  • Mike Dempsey / Vegasinsider

    GP Race 1 Md $16,000 (1:00 ET)
    #12 Rapstorerocks 8-1
    #10 Mayito 7-2
    #9 First in Line 6-1
    #11 Hero Up 4-1

    Analysis: Rapstorerocks makes his sixth career start and catches a field here the Breen trainee should be able to handle. Last out the colt was bumped early, had to steady on the backstretch and then got caught in tight quarters and had to steady again in the stretch in a sixth-place finish, beaten 2 1/2 lengths. The colt has shown mild improvement and now gets a jock upgrade here to Paco. He has a solid turf pedigree, by Red Rocks out of an Arch mare that has dropped four winners and three have won on turf. He was my top pick last Friday at 5-1 when the card got canceled does not draw as well here but should be a fair price.

    Mayito returns off a two month break here for the Saffie barn that has been very live at the meeting. He returns a gelding (the horse not the trainer) and is coming off a solid second last out at Tampa Bay Downs against $32,000 foes. He ran second in his debut and then was fourth second out. He gets jammed in her for $16,000 for a barn that is 32% winners with newcomers to the barn. he is out of an Arch mare, her first foal to ace.

    WIN: #12 to win at 5-1 or better.
    EX: 10,12 / 9,10,11,12
    TRI: 10,12 / 9,10,11,12 / 7,9,10,11,12

    Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Tampa Bay Downs:

    TAM Race 6 Md Sp Wt (3:18 ET)
    #1 Enjoy the Music 9-2
    #6 Idle Time 7-2
    #2 North Dakota 8-5
    #9 Winter's Wonder 8-1

    Analysis: Enjoy the Music returns off a 3 1/2 month break here for the Delacour barn that is 24% winners (with a +ROI) with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. His last was his first go on turf, stalking the early pace and finishing evenly in a third-place finish. The winner Bye Bye Melvin drew away to win by 8 1/4 lengths and then came back to beat Alw-1 optional claimers in his next outing on Jan. 8. He is by Pioneerof the Nile out of a stakes placed Indian Charlie mare, her first foal to race. The barn can have them ready to go off the break and the 9-2 morning line looks fair on this guy who still appears to have some upside on turf.

    Idle Time debuts for the Clement barn that is 28% winners (with a +ROI) with first timers. The gelding has a solid enough turf pedigree, by Into Mischief out of a Mr. Greeley mare that has dropped two other foals to race, both winners including one turf winner. A steady string of works on the morning tab and the barn has been very live here, winning at a 38% clip.

    WIN: #1 to win at 7-2 or better.
    EX: 1,6 / 1,2,6,9
    TRI: 1,6 / 1,2,6,9 / 1,2,4,6,9

    Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:

    GP Race 7 Clm $16,000 (4:05 ET)
    #2 Verdict Is In 5-2
    #8 Keepsakekitten 9-5
    #9 Earthquake 8-1
    #7 Allgorilla 4-1

    Analysis: Verdict Is In stalked the early pace and battled on gamely in the stretch to miss by just a neck last out in a runner up finish versus $20,000 foes. The gelding was 6 1/2 lengths clear of the rest of the field in the effort. The Plesa trainee earned a career top speed fig and Paco sticks as the gelding drops in for a $16,000 tag here. He has landed in the exacta in 3 of his 5 trips over the grass here. A repeat of his last makes him tough in this spot.

    Keepsakekitten got a good trip last out at Tampa Bay Downs. The colt tracked the early pace while saving ground and finished gamely to win by a neck over $25,000 starter optional claimers. Two back in his first start against winners he was a good second behind repeat winner Monforte, who was one of four in that race to win next out, winning his next two starts including a starter stake. He is in good hands with the Saffie barn that is having a strong meeting, hitting at a 27% clip. The logical one to beat but our top pick is going to offer a bit more value for the top spot.

    WIN: #2 to win at 2-1 or better.
    EX: 2,8 / 2,7,8,9
    TRI: 2,8 / 2,7,8,9 / 2,4,7,8,9

    Live Longshots:
    These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

    Gulfstream Park
    R2: #7 Zandrea’s 10-1
    R4: #11 We Connected 20-1
    R4: #9 Still Schemin 8-1
    R5: #8 Tara 8-1
    R6: #2 Kiffle 12-1
    R7: #9 Earthquake 8-1
    R9: #4 Surf and Turf 8-1
    R10: #10 Healy’s Hope 10-1

    Good luck today!

  • #2
    I tail Dempsey's Longshots when I see odds drop in half ...

    Example .. 4th Race at GP .. he picked

    R4: #11 We Connected 20-1..... if it goes to like 10 - 1 or even 12-1 ...... I play it win / place / show ....

    BOL !!!



    • #3
      Thanks spenda


      • #4
        I need to bet on something. I'm coming along


        • #5
          Here is more guys .........
          Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

          Will Rogers Downs - Race #2
          #5 Wil of Fortune ML favorite blew a 3-length lead late last time against state breds at RP when last seen in December but looms the controlling speed here, and shortens up a half-furlong too; looks long gone.
          #8 Ikon Who Class dropper hasn't been seen since August, so he may need this, but he's been facing much better, and his dirt runs are solid, plus, aside from the chalk, this is a weak group; do not ignore.
          Daring Ego Fellow RP shipper is another coming off a December layoff, and he's got some hit or miss form, but his sprints have been better than his routes, so he can get a piece here; exotics contender.
          Race Summary You won't get rich on the 5 but that 5-2 ML seems like a big overlay, as a repeat of his last, or anything close to it, might lap this field, so make an aggressive win or place bet at 2-1 or better, though you can get some built-in value by singling him to kick off the early Pk4, since that's not a move the public likes to employ to start a sequence, which means you can turn him into more value than the tote suggests, while also allowing yourself for more coverage in the deeper, surrounding legs.
          Will Rogers Downs - Race #6
          #3 Euro Surprise Remington invader was facing Ok-breds on debut, and it came in December, but he ran in a very fast race for the level, which means that 5th was better than it looks, and it's not like there are any tigers singed on here; look out.
          #8 Ninethirtyturbo ML favorite chased then tired but was a clear 2nd on debut against better in an MCL at Sam Houston, and this outside attack post is perfect for that running style, though at 2-1 he has no margin for error either; scary, but no lock.
          #4 Baptism Firster goes for a solid enough Dixon barn (12%) and shows several encouraging morning drills for this unveiling, highlighted by the 1/30 bullet, and note that Kimes is 25% when he rides for the barn, which is a big angle; looks live.
          Race Summary You could make a case that the 3 should be favored, so to see him as the third-choice on the ML makes him very intriguing, and if the 4 doesn't take any money on debut the pick becomes that much more appealing, so play him to win and place, and make sure to use him to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since there are three here who will take plenty of play, and the other two are likely to take more of it, which means a lot of tickets will be knocked out right off the bat.
          Will Rogers Downs - Race #8
          #7 Word to the Wise Impressive debut winner dueled hard throughout, kicked clear, the held in the mud on debut, and while facing winners is never easy, and he comes in off a November layoff too, he does look like the controlling speed; come and catch the pick.
          #3 Eurobadguy Rousing MSW winner two-back didn't fore against open foes on the turf when last seen in November, but he's back with friends here, and if the pick gets hooked, then his late run will be that much more dangerous in the lane; very playable.
          #1 Caney's Ghost Dicey ML favorite actually still hasn't won a race, as he got put up via DQ last time, and note he got the dreaded hung label that day too, so sure, he fits, but this is a tough ask, especially from a potentially tricky rail draw; trying to beat on top.
          Race Summary Pace makes the race, and on paper there is no one who can run early with the 7, so play aggressively him to win and place, while getting some added value by singling him in the late Pk4 as well, since he tipped his hand in that debut win, and this seems like an onward and upward type of spot, yet he might not even be favored either.
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

          Fonner Park - Race #1
          #2 Third Dimension Probably won't be any kind of price, but he's a pretty reliable type who didn't miss by much in the local debut last out.
          #10 Drastic Pace was right in the photo with the top choice last time out, but this is his 20th career start, so he's not really brimming with excuses at this point.
          #9 Backchatter Think that last one might be just a touch better than it looks on paper, and he can probably move forward a bit off the comeback run.
          Race Summary Third Dimension has tactical pace and some consistent running lines to his credit, and his baseline effort is probably good enough to win this.
          Fonner Park - Race #6
          #7 Free Music Worth a little shot after the poor showing on the off track last out, and his two-back race may keep him in the mix with these at a price.
          #8 Commander McDivitt Speed goes off the claim but does so with a couple of compelling running lines from his last couple of races. The one to beat?
          #2 Theboyzdelight Reliable finisher posted a local win with lesser last out, and that run isn't very far off what it might take to win right back on the hike.
          Race Summary Free Music looks the part of a potential price player, as he can get a good forward trip while back on dry land and didn't miss by much at this level two starts back.
          Fonner Park - Race #7
          #7 Top of the Page Finisher usually runs a good one and exits a couple of easy wins at Delta Downs in the recent tries. Barn has been doing good work here.
          #4 Smarty Party Papa Tracking pace can get a good run of things in this spot, and his 4-for-7 local record speaks for itself.
          #2 Knight Disruptor Reliable type might not have quite as high a ceiling as some others in here, but he almost always shows up and figures to be there for a piece.
          Race Summary Top of the Page gets the edge here off the Delta claim, and anything like his last two would probably dispatch this bunch if he handles the local footing.
          Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

          Gulfstream Park - Race #3
          #4 No Se Vende Couldn't get to the leaders in turf sprints lately but showed more speed and usually finished better on the main track; choice.
          #6 Bahamian Girl Rapid enough to quickly overcome the outside post and has been in much tougher races; was stakes placed last year and figures well here.
          #2 Champagne Bliss Ran a couple of good ones at Aqueduct last fall and since then was overmatched; could be a factor for this claiming price.
          Race Summary No Se Vende should enjoy the return to the main track, can get a stalking position and has a good chance to run down the leaders.
          Gulfstream Park - Race #6
          #1 Misschief Maas Could be overlooked here but has been in some very good races and often has a solid closing move.
          #5 Liza Star Extremely rapid, can carve out the fractions here and could benefit from turning back in distance.
          #6 Day by Day Another with excellent early speed and should be able to press throughout; beat a good group two races back.
          Race Summary Misschief Mass can benefit from following a very fast pace and could close it out late at a price.
          Gulfstream Park - Race #8
          #7 Whyruawesome Lost a photo in a stakes race last out and has the speed to get a good position from the outset; his best can get it done here.
          #2 Fast Pass Closed mildly in the G3 World of Trouble and scored an impressive win two back; usually a late threat in these sprints.
          #1 The Tabulator Has won 6 of 14 and is well-traveled; Rivelli charge can be in good position from the outset.
          Race Summary Whyruawesome has been knocked at the door, has the tactical speed to be a factor from the start and can make 1st run ahead of the deep closers.


          • #6
            Originally posted by philly View Post
            Thanks spenda
            Welcome my friend ... anytime brotha ...


            • #7
              Originally posted by BIGCAT_LSU View Post
              I need to bet on something. I'm coming along
              Too funny Arnold ....but I hear ya !!!