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Ncaa College Football Season Long Trends / Angles

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  • #31
    This angle in 2018 ...

    566 ATS Games .. excluding push records ....

    Went ... 305 Lost Ats / 261 Win Ats .... Losing Percentage of 54% ( which is solid )

    Using the Angle 29 Teams had Losing ATS Records ... while just 15 had Winning Ats Records


    A $10 Bettor ...in which I'm playing ... would make

    $162.45

    The Angle in my opinion, is not worth wagering because you have to invest $5,660.00 to Win $162.45

    Who has that money laying around ???

    But If I tweak my angle somehow ...look a bit deeper into those teams that had the Winning Records Ats wise maybe I can cut my losses ?

    That is my goal ...

    I will update this trend with more info later ....


    Any genuine interest in the angle/trend .... send me a message ...Private Message

    Larry
    Spenda http://www.dtpicks.com/forums/core/i...lies/horse.gif

    Comment


    • #32
      Liberty Head Coach ...not with team ...

      This has to hurt what they are trying to do offensively ???

      Thoughts ????

      https://247sports.com/Article/Hugh-F...iss-134439082/
      Spenda http://www.dtpicks.com/forums/core/i...lies/horse.gif

      Comment


      • #33
        Last 5 Years


        When FBS School is favored by less than - 9.5 points vs an FCS School .... ATS Record is 3-10!!!!!! .....all about digging gents

        When the FCS School Covered

        2015 San Jose St .. Line opened - 2 moved to - 6 .... Final 43-13

        2017 Texas Tech - 7 ......line stayed same ....Final 56-10

        2018 Ga St - 3 .... line stayed same .....Final 24-20


        The FBS ATS Losers

        2014 ..Iowa St -3.5 to - 6 .... Lost Su 14-34

        2014 ... Wyo - 4.5 to 6.5....Won 17-12 ....no cover

        2014 ... Ga St - 4 .... line stayed same ....Won 38-37 ....no cover

        2015 ... Kansas - 3.5 ...line stayed same ....Lost SU 38-41

        2016....Iowa St - 9 to - 9.5 ....Lost SU 20-25

        2016 ...FAU -7 to - 9.5 ....Won 38-30 .....no cover

        2018 ...Kansas - 6.5 to -9.5 ....Lost SU in OT 23-26

        2018 ...EC - 7.5 ...line stayed same ....LOST SU 23-28

        2018...SJ ST - 3 ...line stayed same ....Lost SU 38-44

        2018 ...Utep - 6.5 to - 7 ....Lost SU 10-30





        So far 2019 .... we have these FBS Schools - 9.5 or Less vs FCS Schools .... wait until kickoff to wager sometimes you get a few more points ....if playing the DOG ....like we should .... last 5 years 3-10 ATS

        CM

        WK

        Kansas

        WV

        UTSA

        N ILL

        SD ST
        Spenda http://www.dtpicks.com/forums/core/i...lies/horse.gif

        Comment


        • #34
          Last Injury List for awhile

          Return Starters Only ....not projected starters or those who were going to see many snaps ....

          Arkansas
          Deon Wright …. WR …. Out for Season …. Torn ACL
          Auburn
          Anthony Schwartz….. WR …. Out for maybe a game or two …. Broken Hand ….. May update this guy soon
          Byu
          Now 16 Return Starters
          Neil Pau'u WR … Suspended for Year …. DUI….
          Central Michigan
          Down to 10 Return Starters
          Brandon Childress WR ….Out for Season ….Knee…..2nd leading Returning WR ...only 15 catches last year
          Cincinnati
          Down to 13 Return Starters
          James Hudson OL ...likely to sit out the entire 2019 season while dealing with eligibility issues.
          Duke
          Down to 11 Return Starters… Gilbert may Return ?
          Mark Gilbert …. CB …Out Indef….Gilbert had offseason hip surgery and will miss an extended period.
          Brandon Hill …..LB ….Out Indef ….Hill will miss an undetermined length of time due to arthroscopic knee surgery
          Jake Bobo ….WR…..Out Indef …. Broken Clavicle
          Florida
          Down to 11 Return Starters … Minshew may return
          David Reese II …..LB …...Out for Season ….ruptured Achilles tendon
          Cole Minshew ….OL…..Out Indef …...neck injury
          8/11 … Banks …OL Retires
          Georgia
          Down to 10 Return Starters
          Jeremiah Holloway ….WR …Out for Season …Dismissed ….Domestic Issue
          Brenton Cox … LB …. Dismissed ….. Drug Charges
          Georgia Southern
          Shai Werts ….QB …. Suspended for game vs Lsu ….. Poss Cocaine use
          Illinois
          Down to 16 Return Starters
          Bobby Roundtree…..DE....Out for Season … Back …..TOP SACK MAN 7.5 Last Year / 2nd in Tackles
          Iowa St
          Down to 15 Return Starters
          Corey Dunn …. P …..Out for Season ….Achillies
          Kentucky
          Down to just 7 Return Starters and temporarily without WR Epps …6 Return Starters Until Late Sept
          Isiah Epps ….WR ….Will be back Late Sept …..Foot
          Davonte Robinson ….S......Out for Season …..torn right quadriceps
          Lsu
          Jamal Pettigrew … TE …Out Indef ….recovering from a torn ACL
          Maryland
          RS = Return Starters
          Down to JUST 7 RETURN STARTERS ..With No Returning QB .. Also until Thomas Return this gives them just 6 RS
          Jashun Jones …WR ….Out for Season … Knee …..HUGE LOSS
          Jeff Thomas ….WR …Out Indef ….arthroscopic procedure on his knee
          Antwaine Richardson … DB …Out for Season ….season-ending torn ACL
          Michigan
          Ambry Thomas….CB ….Unsure of Return …. Colitis
          Andrew Stueber ….OL …..Out Indef…...Knee
          Minn
          Zack Annexstad …. QB …Out Indef … Foot
          NC ST
          Down to 10 Return Starters
          Tim Kid-Glass …. S …. Transfer
          Notre Dame
          New Injury 8/7 …. Banks …OL ….Out Indef …. Broken Foot
          Ohio St
          Tyreke Smith … DE …. Out Indef …..Surgery
          Oklahoma
          Down to 11 Return Starters / 3 Off and 8 Def
          Tre Norwood …. DB …..Out for Season …. Knee
          Oregon
          Brendon Schooler …. WR …. Out until early October … broken foot
          Oregon St
          Down to 15 Return Starters
          Jeremy Reichner …DL …Out for Season … Knee
          Pittsburgh
          Down to 10 Return Starters / 5 on Defense
          Rashad Weaver …. DL …Out for Season … Torn ACL
          Purdue
          Lorenzo Neal … DT …Out Indef….. Knee Injury
          Tario Fuller …. RB ….Out Indef …..Unspecified Injury
          San Diego St
          Down to 12 Return Starters
          Tim Wilson Jr … WR … Retired …Top WR from Last Year
          South Carolina
          Kiel Pollard ….TE …..Out Indef ….. Stinger
          Southern Miss
          Quez Watkins … WR ….Out Indef … Academics …. Top Returning WR from Last Year
          Syracuse
          McKinley Williams … DL ….Out Indef … Lower Body Injury
          Tennessee
          Down to 15 Return Starters
          Emmit Gooden … Top DL ….Out for Season .. Led team tackles for loss last year
          TCU
          Sewo Olonilua…. RB …. Out Indef …. Poss susp… conduct …. LEADING RUSHER LAST YEAR
          Texas Tech
          Damarcus Fields … DB …. Out Indef … violation of team rules
          Toledo
          Down to 10 Return Starters
          Bryce Harris …. OL….Out for Season … Knee
          Tulsa
          Freshmen Starting WR Josh Johnson ….Miss Season … Eligibility Reasons
          Uab
          Brontae Harris … CB ….Out Indef … Foot
          Ucf
          Darriel Mack Jr … QB … Out Indef ….Ankle ….huge loss
          UCLA
          Alec Anderson …. OL ….Unsure of Return Time …. Leg Injury
          ULL
          Cole Prudhomme ….OL …. Doubtful 8/31
          Virginia
          Down to 13 Return Starters
          Darrious Bratton ….CB …. Out for Season …. Knee Injury
          Western Kentucky
          Eli Brown …. LB …. Out Indef
          West Virginia
          Jovani Haskins ….TE …. Out Indef ….Shoulder Issue
          Wisconsin
          Zander Neuville …. TE …. Not avail until after season begins ….Leg Issue
          Wyoming
          Down to 9 Return Starters
          C.J. Johnson … WR … Out for Season …. Top Returning WR from Last Year
          Ravontae Holt ….DT ….Out for Season …. Torn ACL
          Spenda http://www.dtpicks.com/forums/core/i...lies/horse.gif

          Comment


          • #35
            Thank you

            Comment


            • #36
              Originally posted by Maggie01 View Post
              Thank you
              Welcome Maggie ...
              Spenda http://www.dtpicks.com/forums/core/i...lies/horse.gif

              Comment


              • #37
                Last list for a few days ...

                Return Starters Only .....no starters on this list that were expected to start or see numerous snaps .... just an fyi

                Arkansas
                Deon Wright …. WR …. Out for Season …. Torn ACL
                Auburn
                Anthony Schwartz….. WR …. Out for maybe a game or two …. Broken Hand ….. May update this guy soon
                Byu
                Now 16 Return Starters
                Neil Pau'u WR … Suspended for Year …. DUI….
                Central Michigan
                Down to 10 Return Starters
                Brandon Childress WR ….Out for Season ….Knee…..2nd leading Returning WR ...only 15 catches last year
                Cincinnati
                Down to 13 Return Starters
                James Hudson OL ...likely to sit out the entire 2019 season while dealing with eligibility issues.
                Duke
                Down to 11 Return Starters… Gilbert may Return ?
                Mark Gilbert …. CB …Out Indef….Gilbert had offseason hip surgery and will miss an extended period.
                Brandon Hill …..LB ….Out Indef ….Hill will miss an undetermined length of time due to arthroscopic knee surgery
                Jake Bobo ….WR…..Out Indef …. Broken Clavicle
                Florida
                Down to 11 Return Starters … Minshew may return
                David Reese II …..LB …...Out for Season ….ruptured Achilles tendon
                Cole Minshew ….OL…..Out Indef …...neck injury
                8/11 … Banks …OL Retires
                Georgia
                Down to 10 Return Starters
                Jeremiah Holloway ….WR …Out for Season …Dismissed ….Domestic Issue
                Brenton Cox … LB …. Dismissed ….. Drug Charges
                Georgia Southern
                Shai Werts ….QB …. Suspended for game vs Lsu ….. Poss Cocaine use
                Hawaii
                8/20 ….Kimoku Noa…..WR…..Out Several Games …. Undisclosed Injury
                Illinois
                Down to 16 Return Starters
                Bobby Roundtree…..DE....Out for Season … Back …..TOP SACK MAN 7.5 Last Year / 2nd in Tackles
                Iowa St
                Down to 15 Return Starters
                Corey Dunn …. P …..Out for Season ….Achillies
                Kentucky
                Down to just 7 Return Starters and temporarily without WR Epps …6 Return Starters Until Late Sept
                Isiah Epps ….WR ….Will be back Late Sept …..Foot
                Davonte Robinson ….S......Out for Season …..torn right quadriceps
                Lsu
                Jamal Pettigrew … TE …Out Indef ….recovering from a torn ACL
                Maryland
                RS = Return Starters
                Down to JUST 7 RETURN STARTERS ..With No Returning QB .. Also until Thomas Return this gives them just 6 RS
                Jashun Jones …WR ….Out for Season … Knee …..HUGE LOSS
                Jeff Thomas ….WR …Out Indef ….arthroscopic procedure on his knee
                Antwaine Richardson … DB …Out for Season ….season-ending torn ACL
                Michigan
                Ambry Thomas….CB ….Unsure of Return …. Colitis
                Andrew Stueber ….OL …..Out Indef…...Knee
                Minn
                Zack Annexstad …. QB …Out Indef … Foot
                NC ST
                Down to 10 Return Starters
                Tim Kid-Glass …. S …. Transfer
                Notre Dame
                New Injury 8/7 …. Banks …OL ….Out Indef …. Broken Foot
                8/18 …. Michael Young …. WR …..Out Multiple Weeks ….. Shoulder
                Ohio St
                Tyreke Smith … DE …. Out Indef …..Surgery
                Oklahoma
                Down to 11 Return Starters / 3 Off and 8 Def
                Tre Norwood …. DB …..Out for Season …. Knee
                Oregon
                Brendon Schooler …. WR …. Out until early October … broken foot
                Oregon St
                Down to 15 Return Starters
                Jeremy Reichner …DL …Out for Season … Knee
                Pittsburgh
                Down to 10 Return Starters / 5 on Defense
                Rashad Weaver …. DL …Out for Season … Torn ACL
                Purdue
                Lorenzo Neal … DT …Out Indef….. Knee Injury
                Tario Fuller …. RB ….Out Indef …..Unspecified Injury
                San Diego St
                Down to 12 Return Starters
                Tim Wilson Jr … WR … Retired …Top WR from Last Year
                South Carolina
                Kiel Pollard ….TE …..Out Indef ….. Stinger
                Southern Miss
                Quez Watkins … WR ….Out Indef … Academics …. Top Returning WR from Last Year
                Syracuse
                McKinley Williams … DL ….Out Indef … Lower Body Injury
                Tennessee
                Down to 15 Return Starters
                Emmit Gooden … Top DL ….Out for Season .. Led team tackles for loss last year
                TCU
                Sewo Olonilua…. RB …. Out Indef …. Poss susp… conduct …. LEADING RUSHER LAST YEAR
                Texas Tech
                Damarcus Fields … DB …. Out Indef … violation of team rules
                Toledo
                Down to 10 Return Starters
                Bryce Harris …. OL….Out for Season … Knee
                Tulsa
                Freshmen Starting WR Josh Johnson ….Miss Season … Eligibility Reasons
                Uab
                Brontae Harris … CB ….Out Indef … Foot
                Ucf
                Darriel Mack Jr … QB … Out Indef ….Ankle ….huge loss
                UCLA
                Alec Anderson …. OL ….Unsure of Return Time …. Leg Injury
                ULL
                Cole Prudhomme ….OL …. Doubtful 8/31
                Virginia
                Down to 13 Return Starters
                Darrious Bratton ….CB …. Out for Season …. Knee Injury
                Western Kentucky
                Eli Brown …. LB …. Out Indef
                West Virginia
                Jovani Haskins ….TE …. Out Indef ….Shoulder Issue
                Wisconsin
                Zander Neuville …. TE …. Not avail until after season begins ….Leg Issue
                Wyoming
                Down to 9 Return Starters
                C.J. Johnson … WR … Out for Season …. Top Returning WR from Last Year
                Ravontae Holt ….DT ….Out for Season …. Torn ACL
                Spenda http://www.dtpicks.com/forums/core/i...lies/horse.gif

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