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Tues / Lar's Look

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  • Tues / Lar's Look

    IL = Inter League

    GS = Games Started

    ER = Earned Runs

    TY = This Year

    TT = Team Total

    BA = Batting Average

    LHP = Left Handed Pitching

    RHP = Right Handed Pitching

    Unit = $5 ...no remarks


    Game 1

    Nym ... Wheeler .. IL ...15 GS / 5-4 Rec / Era 4.93 ..........in only career start vs Yanks ... 4.1 IP / 5 ER

    So far TY in Day Games ... Wheeler 1-3 Rec / Era 6.93

    vs

    Nyy ....Tanaka ... IL ... 19 GS / 7-8 Rec / Era 3.61 .... never pitched vs Mets at Home in 4 Career Starts ....1-2 Rec / Era 3.08


    When on Return Home Games after Road Trip ... Yanks are 3-1 in first game back at home ... scoring 5 runs per game ...


    Game 2

    Nym ... Vargas ... IL ...29 GS / 10-10 Rec / Era 4.26........In 6 GS in Yankee Stadium ... 0-5 Rec / Era 7.53....only problem here is Yanks Ranked # 22 in BA vs LHP ...

    Vargas last outing ... 117 Pitches ...the most since way back in 2011 .... he's a soft thrower so not sure that matters much here ?

    Small Lean Over TT Yanks ...when available

    vs

    Yanks .... Paxton ....IL ... 14 GS / 5-6 Rec / Era 3.53 .....only 1 start vs Mets in Career ... 6 IP / 0 ER


    Toronto .... Thornton ...bit better pitcher Away from Home so far TY ....numbers below .....NIGHT GAMES TY ... 1-4 Rec / Era 5.92
    By Breakdown ERA W L SV SVO GP GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
    Home 6.39 0 3 0 0 7 7 0 31.0 34 22 22 9 15 38 .272
    Away 3.21 1 1 0 0 6 6 0 33.2 23 12 12 2 16 31 .192
    vs


    Balt .....Means ....pitching real well TY 5-4 Rec / Era 2.67 ....

    Means ...Pitching better at Home
    By Breakdown ERA W L SV SVO GP GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
    Home 1.53 3 1 0 0 7 5 0 29.1 18 9 5 2 6 26 .173
    Away 3.73 2 3 0 0 7 5 0 31.1 31 13 13 5 10 24 .261
    Hard to back bad teams ... Sm Lean ... Balt 1st 5


    Arizona ... rolling with the bats right now 4 straight games scoring 6 or more runs .... does Philly Arrieta shut them down tonight ?

    Arizona Pitcher .... Duplantier ....making his 1st road start here in Philly .... Minimal numbers in 22 IP / Era 3.27 ....all at home for most part a 3 IP relief appearance earlier this year in SD ...

    vs

    Philly... Arrieta ....Zona Jake Lamb 7/15 BA .467 vs Arrieta

    Arrieta ....back to back starts giving up 5 ER ....Philly opened up as a - 143 Favorite down to - 124 ????

    Rookie making 1st start on road vs Cy Young Winner .... and line dropping ???????


    A stay for me


    Reds ... Castillo ...just 3 Career IL Starts ... 0-1 Rec / Era 6.39 .....Castillo 6-1 Rec TY / Era 2.26 ..solid ....6 Days since last start which can only help his velocity ...

    Castillo ... 6-0 at Night TY / Era 1.50

    He has never faced Cleveland ....

    Cleve ..... Bauer ... IL... 26 GS ...11-5 Rec / Era 2.66 .....Reds hitter ...Iglesias 8/20 BA .400 vs Bauer ....

    Bauer 5 Career starts vs Reds / 1-2 Rec / Era 3.54


    Over / Under set at 8.5 ...looks fishy to me a bit ?


    Just a small lean ... Reds 1st 5



    Pitt ... Archer ...vs Current Braves Team ... 149 At Bats / BA just .168 ...wow .... Only 3 Games started vs Braves 1-1 Rec / Era 1.69 ...

    Just faced Braves in Pitt on June 6th ... last start .... 6 IP / 1 ER .........NIGHT GAMES ... ARCHER JUST 1-2 / ERA 7.31

    vs

    Braves ... Foltynewicz ....took the loss vs Archer in Pitt last start ... on June 6th ... .......NIGHT GAMES Foltynewicz 1-3 / ERA 7.16



    Seattle .... Leake ...........Limited At Bats vs Current Twins Team ...but numbers not great
    MINNESOTA TWINS CAREER STATISTICS VS. MIKE LEAKE
    BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    Ehire Adrianza 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
    Byron Buxton 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
    Jason Castro 8 3 1 0 0 1 2 1 .375 .500 .500 1.000
    C.J. Cron 11 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 .273 .333 .273 .606
    Nelson Cruz 7 3 1 0 1 5 0 2 .429 .375 1.000 1.375
    Marwin Gonzalez 14 8 0 0 1 4 1 3 .571 .625 .786 1.411
    Max Kepler 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .200 .000 .200
    Eddie Rosario 7 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 .714 .714 .857 1.571
    Miguel Sano 4 2 2 0 0 1 2 1 .500 .667 1.000 1.667
    Jonathan Schoop 5 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 .200 .200 .800 1.000
    Totals 68 25 5 0 3 12 7 12 .368 .429 .574 1.002
    But in 4 Career starts vs twins 2-0 Rec / Era 4.32


    Last time Leake went over 110 Pitches in a game ... the next start ... gave up 5 ER / 6.1 IP ... Leake seldom goes over 110 Pitches in a game


    Sm Lean Over TT Twins


    Minn ... Perez ...has not made it out of the 4th inning in last 2 starts .... better pitcher at home so far ty
    By Breakdown ERA W L SV SVO GP GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
    Home 2.51 3 1 0 0 5 4 0 28.2 26 8 8 2 9 29 .243
    Away 4.66 4 1 0 0 8 6 0 36.2 37 23 19 3 21 31 .259
    Day 5.27 2 1 0 0 3 2 0 13.2 15 8 8 3 9 16 .268
    Night 3.31 5 1 0 0 10 8 0 51.2 48 23 19 2 21 44 .247

    Milwaukee ... Spot Starter ...Peralta ... notice not the greatest night numbers ....
    By Breakdown ERA W L SV SVO GP GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
    Home 5.68 2 2 0 0 7 4 0 25.1 28 19 16 6 11 28 .267
    Away 4.34 1 0 0 0 4 3 0 18.2 23 11 9 2 2 24 .284
    Day 3.50 2 1 0 0 3 3 0 18.0 14 10 7 2 3 23 .203
    Night 6.23 1 1 0 0 8 4 0 26.0 37 20 18 6 10 29 .316
    Believe making his 1st start under a dome and 1st start vs Houston

    Houston and Milwaukee have not played each other since 2016

    Houston has gone 3 straight games of scoring 4 or less runs ...... and they are coming off a day off .....


    Houston ...pitcher Peacock numbers ...better at home and at night .... So why is the Line dropping here ??? Fishy ???
    By Breakdown ERA W L SV SVO GP GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
    Home 2.38 2 1 0 0 6 6 0 34.0 26 9 9 2 7 41 .205
    Away 4.11 3 2 0 0 7 5 0 30.2 23 15 14 3 13 26 .207
    Day 7.98 0 1 0 0 3 3 0 14.2 19 13 13 2 4 12 .311
    Night 1.80 5 2 0 0 10 8 0 50.0 30 11 10 3 16 55 .169

    Small Lean Over TT Houston and Houston 1st 5 .... the line movement scares me off this game ?



    Wash ... Corbin ... not great numbers Away and at Night ...
    By Breakdown ERA W L SV SVO GP GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
    Home 2.32 3 1 0 0 6 6 1 42.2 27 11 11 2 10 45 .182
    Away 5.02 2 3 0 0 7 7 0 37.2 42 26 21 8 17 44 .278
    Day 1.88 2 0 0 0 4 4 1 28.2 19 6 6 3 5 27 .190
    Night 4.53 3 4 0 0 9 9 0 51.2 50 31 26 7 22 62 .251
    Corbin ...IL ...16 GS / 7-4 Rec / Era 3.46


    Washington is 3rd in MLB vs LHP TY .... Sox throw Banuelos who in my opinion is horrible ( Now watch em pitch a great game )


    Play .... 3 Units ....Over 5.5 TT Wash


    Detroit ... Turnbull faced KC 2 times this year ... 2-0 record / 13 IP / 3 ER / Era 2.08 ....

    Plus Turbull's numbers Away and at Night are solid
    By Breakdown ERA W L SV SVO GP GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
    Home 3.16 0 3 0 0 7 7 0 37.0 39 20 13 3 13 40 .264
    Away 2.86 3 2 0 0 6 6 0 34.2 26 12 11 3 14 28 .208
    Day 3.72 0 4 0 0 7 7 0 38.2 40 22 16 5 13 46 .265
    Night 2.18 3 1 0 0 6 6 0 33.0 25 10 8 1 14 22 .205
    vs

    KC Junis .. faced Det 1 time TY in Det 6 IP / 3 ER

    Junis has struggles more at Home and at Night
    By Breakdown ERA W L SV SVO GP GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
    Home 6.27 2 3 0 0 7 7 0 37.1 45 28 26 3 15 34 .290
    Away 4.93 2 3 0 0 6 6 0 34.2 35 21 19 9 13 32 .265
    Day 4.76 3 1 0 0 7 7 0 39.2 39 22 21 2 16 37 .253
    Night 6.68 1 5 0 0 6 6 0 32.1 41 27 24 10 12 29 .308
    Never trust betting bad teams ...and line is moving up with KC ...opened - 125 ...now - 143 ??

    I don't like getting caught up on line moves


    Lean ... Detroit 1st 5


    Cubs ... Quintana faced Rocks in last start 7 IP / 3 ER ...

    Quintana ... 3 starts in Colorado ... 2-0 / Era 4.58

    vs

    Colorado ...Lambert who just beat Quintana in his last start ... 7 IP / 1 Er


    SD ... Paddock ... last 2 starts gave up 4 and 5 ER's ....

    vs

    SF ... Beede ... prone to long ball in limited starts ....
    By Breakdown ERA W L SV SVO GP GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
    Home 3.86 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2.1 4 1 1 0 3 5 .364
    Away 8.80 0 2 0 0 4 3 0 15.1 20 17 15 4 12 14 .313
    Day 3.38 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 8.0 8 3 3 0 6 6 .267
    Night 12.10 0 1 0 0 3 2 0 9.2 16 15 13 4 9 13 .356
    Small Lean ...Over TT SD



    Only play so far ... 3 Units ... Over 5.5 Washington
    Spenda http://www.dtpicks.com/forums/core/i...lies/horse.gif

  • #2
    Thanks for all of the research SB
    GOOD LUCK TO ALL TODAY THANK YOU PHILLY FOR ALL YOU DO

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by BIGCAT_LSU View Post
      Thanks for all of the research SB
      Always glad to help bro ...when I can .... Go get em !!!
      Spenda http://www.dtpicks.com/forums/core/i...lies/horse.gif

      Comment


      • #4
        Thanks for the info Buckster



        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Phatmac View Post
          Thanks for the info Buckster



          You got it Daron ... My Mom broke her back yesterday and needs surgery .... I will try to throw some notes on here , when I can , just a heads up ... Go get em !!
          Spenda http://www.dtpicks.com/forums/core/i...lies/horse.gif

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